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Cristin-resultat-ID:
1867338
Sist endret:
3. februar 2021, 20:57
Resultat
Vitenskapelig artikkel
2020
Capturing key energy and emission trends in CGE models: Assessment of status and remaining challenges
Taran Fæhn
Gabriel Bachner
Robert Beach
Jean Chateau
Shinichiro Fujimori
Madan Ghosh
mfl.
Tidsskrift
Tidsskrift
The Journal of Global Economic Analysis
ISSN 2377-2999
e-ISSN 2377-2999
NVI-nivå 1
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Om resultatet
Om resultatet
Vitenskapelig artikkel
Publiseringsår: 2020
Volum: 5
Hefte: 1
Sider: 196 - 272
Lenker
Lenker
original online (doi)
https://doi.org/10.21642/JGEA.050106AF
Beskrivelse
Beskrivelse
Engelsk
Tittel
Capturing key energy and emission trends in CGE models: Assessment of status and remaining challenges
Sammendrag
Limiting global warming in line with the goals in the Paris Agreement will require substantial technological and behavioural transformations. This challenge drives many of the current modelling trends. This article undertakes a review of 17 state-of-the-art recursive-dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) models and assesses the key methodologies and applied modules they use for representing sectoral energy and emission characteristics and dynamics. The purpose is to provide technical insight into recent advances in the modelling of current and future energy and abatement technologies and how they can be used to make baseline projections and scenarios 20-80 years ahead. Numerical illustrations are provided. In order to represent likely energy system transitions in the decades to come, modern CGE tools have learned from bottom-up studies. Three different approaches to baseline quantification can be distinguished: (a) exploiting bottom-up model characteristics to endogenize responses of technological investment and utilization, (b) relying on external information sources to feed the exogenous parameters and variables of the model, and (c) linking the model with more technology-rich, partial models to obtain bottom-up- and pathway-consistent parameters.
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Bidragsytere
Bidragsytere
Taran Fæhn
Forfatter
ved Forskningsavdelingen, Miljø-, ressurs- og innovasjonsøkonomi ved Statistisk sentralbyrå
Gabriel Bachner
Forfatter
ved Universität Graz
Robert Beach
Forfatter
Jean Chateau
Forfatter
ved International Monetary Fund
Forfatter
ved OECD - Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Shinichiro Fujimori
Forfatter
ved National Institute for Environmental Studies
Forfatter
ved Kyoto University
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