Sammendrag
The majority of quantitative studies of peace operations have found that peacekeeping has a positive and statistically significant effect on containing the spread of civil war, increasing the success of negotiated settlements to civil wars, and increasing the duration of peace once a civil war has ended (Lisé Morje Howard, Power in Peacekeeping, Cambridge University Press, 2019). However, there appears to be a discrepancy between these general findings, and the seeming inability of several specific peace operations (CAR, DRC, Mali, Somalia, South Sudan, Ukraine, etc.) to help end violent conflict, despite being deployed in some cases for decades. One reason offered is that peace operations are increasingly being deployed into contexts where there is weak or no peace agreements in place. As a result their mandates have changed from conflict resolution to conflict management, with a new emphasis on stabilization and protection of civilians. However, there is a mismatch between this shift in mandate design and the general perception that peacekeeping operations should end conflict and make peace. The question this panel will address is how can one objectively assess the effectiveness of peace operations, given that they have such varied mission objectives and are deployed across such a broad range of contexts?
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