Sammendrag
Large carnivores are currently recolonizing areas where they have been extinct for
decades. This poses considerable challenges for wildlife managers, partly because the
optimal harvesting strategies of prey populations may be affected. If the carnivores in
such areas are under strict management control (as in Scandinavia), the predator will
not show a numerical response to changes in prey density. Consequently, the density of
prey is mainly determined by the vital rates of the prey population and the predation
pressure. In this study we modelled the optimal harvesting strategy for a prey population
in which there was no numerical response by the predator.
Our model is an age-structured deterministic matrix model system. Optimal
harvesting strategies are determined, measuring yield either as number of animals
harvested or as mass of meat.
First, using a moose population in Hedmark in south-eastern Norway as a case
study, we demonstrate that continuing to harvest at the rates used prior to wolf recolonization
will lead to a decline in the moose population.
Secondly, harvesting quotas are specified by age and sex, usually with a high proportion
of calves. Although wolves mainly kill juvenile moose (calves and yearlings), the relationship
between harvest composition and yield is not affected by predation. Both in the presence
and absence of predation, a high proportion of calves in the harvest gives the highest yield
measured as the number of animals harvested, whereas a high proportion of adults maximizes
the yield measured in terms of meat. Furthermore, a female-biased sex structure in the
population gives a higher yield in both the presence and absence of the predator.
Synthesis and applications
. We have shown that managers facing the new challenges
presented by recolonizing populations of large predators such as wolves should reduce
the size of harvest quotas in order to avoid decreases in prey populations. However, the
general relationship between the harvesting strategy and yield maximization is not
affected by wolf predation. The harvest yield from cervid populations is often important
to local economies, and moose is the single most important game species in Scandinavia.
It is therefore important to implement optimal harvesting strategies under these new
conditions in order to prevent an unnecessary loss of yield, and success in this task may
in turn affect local attitudes towards large carnivores.
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